Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 7.673389 8.764338 9.966040 11.389714 13.032672 14.871923 17.090856
2025-08-31 6.046866 7.425989 9.066074 11.166765 13.795397 16.988172 21.178736
2025-09-07 5.365040 6.942323 8.925049 11.613620 15.184687 19.793312 26.237429
2025-09-14 4.769002 6.437353 8.631008 11.747345 16.094566 21.993475 30.688797
2025-09-21 4.258080 5.958935 8.283157 11.720137 16.722708 23.814223 34.762958
2025-09-28 3.815047 5.511371 7.909586 11.584519 17.139939 25.329809 38.513383
2025-10-05 3.593191 5.348056 7.909679 11.969339 18.331044 28.066566 44.378393
2025-10-12 3.380581 5.171097 7.862700 12.262857 19.391717 30.687166 50.334823
2025-10-19 3.224617 5.061231 7.899773 12.678705 20.670577 33.761044 57.364595
2025-10-26 2.929401 4.702573 7.510442 12.361601 20.704310 34.777279 60.977132
2025-11-02 2.701860 4.431455 7.234616 12.199238 20.969818 36.190499 65.419338
2025-11-09 2.502108 4.187991 6.981008 12.045568 21.224972 37.593365 69.975798
2025-11-16 2.312002 3.947743 6.716914 11.856356 21.410877 38.913662 74.583517
2025-11-23 2.134074 3.713686 6.443457 11.623560 21.490650 40.040414 78.942269
2025-11-30 2.081909 3.696510 6.548444 12.089988 22.923425 43.863576 89.153532
2025-12-07 1.985620 3.591050 6.484217 12.229581 23.733913 46.549826 97.330600
2025-12-14 1.874658 3.449259 6.340674 12.201178 24.204022 48.593818 104.372383
2025-12-21 1.758791 3.289012 6.149182 12.059611 24.426778 50.144275 110.504619
2025-12-28 1.718546 3.270037 6.225564 12.461326 25.813774 54.281939 123.003782
2026-01-04 1.669174 3.229099 6.255063 12.767756 27.025480 58.163040 135.399126
2026-01-11 1.636296 3.218085 6.342425 13.201935 28.555950 62.907388 150.483160
2026-01-18 1.526236 3.042835 6.083607 12.870849 28.346447 63.675007 155.833414
2026-01-25 1.440576 2.911641 5.905854 12.701336 28.487534 65.268055 163.476563